tech prediction tank
What Happens When Your Tech Predictions Tank
In 1985, for example, Sandberg-Diment declared laptops would never be a mass-market technology. "On the whole, people don't want to lug a computer with them to the beach or on a train to while away hours they would rather spend reading the sports or business section of the newspaper," he wrote. "Somehow, the microcomputer industry has assumed that everyone would love to have a keyboard grafted on as an extension of their fingers. It just is not so ... Because no matter how inexpensive the machines become, and no matter how sophisticated their software, I still can't imagine the average user taking one along when going fishing." Before that, he had predicted people would never use laptops on airplanes because the Federal Aviation Administration would ban the devices.